NZ Politics Costed

ACT

Announced policies and their four-year fiscal cost. Positive worsens the Government's books.
Net 4-year cost
+$2.24b
Spending & tax cuts
+$5.15b
Revenue & savings
−$2.91b
Already in current plans
$1.90b
Excluded from this view

Policies by size

Each bar is a policy's four-year cost. Bars are drawn to the same scale.

Remove tax on KiwiSaver investment earnings
+$4.08b
Super & KiwiSaverPartymedium

ACT year-by-year: 873 (27/28), 965 (28/29), 1067 (29/30), 1177 (30/31); annual = 4-yr average. Announced 4 Oct 2026 at campaign launch. Seymour: reduces revenue by ~$1b/yr. Safeguards against sheltering large portfolios are undefined. No independent costing yet.

Source
End KiwiSaver Government Contribution for members receiving employer contributions
−$2.59b
Super & KiwiSaverPartymedium

Herald reports ~$2.6b over 4 yrs. Set to -2586 so the package nets to ACT's stated $2.396b over 4 yrs. Annual = 4-yr average.

Source
Remove tax on earnings in other (non-KiwiSaver) superannuation funds
+$900m
Super & KiwiSaverPartymedium

ACT: $193m in 2027/28; ~$0.9b over 4 yrs (NZ Herald). Annual = 4-yr average.

Source
$6/day infrastructure surcharge on temporary work visas
−$320m
OtherPartymedium

ACT: ~$80m a year; 4-yr = 4x. Not in TU tally.

Source
Local Tourism Dividend: $1 per commercial guest night to councils
+$162m
Economy & businessPartyhigh

ACT: ~$40.6m/yr on 2026 guest nights, with per-council amounts. 4-yr = 4x, no growth.

Source
Roll out 20 noise cameras
+$2m
Justice & policePartymedium

Party costing reported by TU.

Source
Lift medicines share of health budget 1pp a year to Australian parity by 2033 (Pharmac)
$0m
HealthPartymedium

TU: midpoint of ACT's own year-by-year projections. ACT: ~$320m extra in yr 1, funded from expected growth in the health budget (no new tax, no cut to the rest of health). TU counts $0 for that reason. Recorded as within the PREFU health allowance, so the full amount sits in in_baseline. [Audit 2026-10-06: cost_source changed from independent to party. The $1.9b is ACT's own year-by-year projection; the Taxpayers' Union tags it (t), meaning party costing taken at face value.]

Source

Analysis notes

ACT: 2026 fiscal position (as at 6 Oct 2026)

Status: ACT's full fiscal plan (Alternative Budget) has not been released yet (re-checked 6 Oct: nothing new on act.org.nz/news since the 4 Oct launch). Seymour said on 4–5 Oct it would come out "the following week" (Newsroom; RNZ). This file covers only the policies announced so far. Election day is 7 Nov 2026.

Headline

  • Flagship tax cut: no tax on KiwiSaver and super-fund earnings ($4.1b + $0.9b over 4 years), part-funded by ending the Government Contribution for members who get employer contributions (about -$2.6b). Net $2.396b over 4 years on ACT's own figures, or about $1b/yr of lost revenue (interest.co.nz; NZ Herald).
  • Spending cuts announced so far are small: repeal the Zero Carbon Act and abolish the Climate Change Commission (~$15m/yr), and a $6/day visa surcharge (+$80m/yr revenue). The larger cuts are expected in the Alternative Budget: consolidating 43 departments into 19 (ACT) and welfare tightening (ACT), both uncosted. ACT claims "$14b" of savings this term.
  • Climate: return all net ETS auction revenue as a Carbon Tax Refund, remove the auction price floor, and restore industrial allocation (ACT).

Total net cost (from policies_act.csv, schema v2, 2027/28–2030/31)

  • Total announced: +$4.85b over 4 years. Of this, $1.9b is the Pharmac medicines-share path, which ACT says comes out of expected health baseline growth (in_baseline_nzd_m).
  • All rows are operating; there are no capital items. Every row is a firm pledge.
  • New spending view: +$2.95b over 4 years. About 80% of that is the KiwiSaver package.
  • Taxpayers' Union Bribe-O-Meter (to ~1 Oct, spending only, before the KiwiSaver policy): $710m over 4 years, the lowest of any party (TU).

Funding

ACT says the Alternative Budget will show how the ~$1b/yr revenue cut is funded. No offsets have been published yet beyond the Government Contribution saving.

Criticisms and alternative costings

  • Most of the KiwiSaver tax relief goes to people with large balances and higher incomes (interest.co.nz and Herald coverage).
  • TU had to cost most of ACT's smaller policies itself (carbon refund $407m, three strikes $192m excluding prison beds, pharmacy $92m minimum).

Key uncertainties

  • The Alternative Budget is unpublished. It is expected to include public-service cuts and possibly the long-held goal of raising the NZ Super age to 67. Seymour has said that would be confirmed in the budget; NZ First rules it out (1News 2023; Newsroom). For scale, ACT's 2023 budget put a 3-months-a-year rise at $0 / $0.34b / $0.72b / $1.14b in years 1–4 (ACT 2023 PDF). It is not in the CSV.
  • Carbon refund cost depends on auction clearing (2026 auctions failed at the $71 floor).
  • No income tax rate cuts have been announced for 2026. KPMG lists ACT as favouring a 28% top rate with an undeclared second rate (KPMG tracker), but this is uncosted.