Economy & business
Net cost in this area
Four-year net. Bars share one scale. Solid adds to the deficit, light reduces it.
International Visitor Levy reset: residual paid to councils from 1 Jul 2027+$105mPartyhigh
Announced 8 Sep 2026 in place of a bed tax. DOC gets a fixed $100m/yr, a new tourism priorities fund $50m/yr, and councils the residual (forecast $86m 2027/28 rising to $106m 2030/31; about $385m to councils over 4 yrs). National puts the Crown cost at $105.1m over 4 yrs, rising from $15.4m to $38.9m. Peters called it 'reallocating the operating allowance'. Annual = 2030/31.
SourceLocal Tourism Dividend: $1 per commercial guest night to councils+$162mPartyhigh
ACT: ~$40.6m/yr on 2026 guest nights, with per-council amounts. 4-yr = 4x, no growth.
SourceNational Subsurface Development Survey (oil, gas, geothermal, CO2 storage)+$1.00bPartyhigh
NZF: '$1 billion over the term of government' (3 yrs). Future royalties not counted.
SourceKai sovereignty funds: Community Kai Fund, extra Matai Ahuwhenua innovation fund, seed funding for Maori supermarket chains ($100m each)+$300mPartymedium
Kai manifesto; with the $2.8bn Kai Credit forms the $3.1bn kai package (RNZ). Supermarket seed funding may be equity (capital).
SourceInterest on up-to-$60b infrastructure borrowing+$3.20bOur estimatelow
TOP: $2.5-3.5b/yr interest at the full $60b, built up over 5-10 yrs. Method: linear $8b/yr drawdown (7.5-yr midpoint) at 5% (the midpoint of TOP's implied rate). Mid-year balances 4/12/20/28b give 0.2/0.6/1.0/1.4 = $3.2b over 4 yrs (range ~$2.6b for a 10-yr build to ~$4.3b for 5 yrs). Replaces TU's $12.0b, which assumes the full $60b is borrowed from day one.
SourceBreakthrough Economy spending: science, researchers, contestable funds, polytechs, incubators, overseas student-loan forgiveness, ComCom, FinCap+$2.66bPartymedium
TOP annual table: science 125, researchers 100, contestable 175, polytech 80+20, incubators 26.5, overseas loan forgiveness 95, ComCom 20, consumer advocacy 5, FinCap 20.
SourceInternational Visitor Levy reset: residual paid to councils from 1 Jul 2027+$105mPartyhigh
Announced 8 Sep 2026 in place of a bed tax. DOC gets a fixed $100m/yr, a new tourism priorities fund $50m/yr, and councils the residual (forecast $86m 2027/28 rising to $106m 2030/31; about $385m to councils over 4 yrs). National puts the Crown cost at $105.1m over 4 yrs, rising from $15.4m to $38.9m. Peters called it 'reallocating the operating allowance'. Annual = 2030/31.
SourceNothing announced in this area.
Nothing announced in this area.
Local Tourism Dividend: $1 per commercial guest night to councils+$162mPartyhigh
ACT: ~$40.6m/yr on 2026 guest nights, with per-council amounts. 4-yr = 4x, no growth.
SourceNational Subsurface Development Survey (oil, gas, geothermal, CO2 storage)+$1.00bPartyhigh
NZF: '$1 billion over the term of government' (3 yrs). Future royalties not counted.
SourceKai sovereignty funds: Community Kai Fund, extra Matai Ahuwhenua innovation fund, seed funding for Maori supermarket chains ($100m each)+$300mPartymedium
Kai manifesto; with the $2.8bn Kai Credit forms the $3.1bn kai package (RNZ). Supermarket seed funding may be equity (capital).
SourceInterest on up-to-$60b infrastructure borrowing+$3.20bOur estimatelow
TOP: $2.5-3.5b/yr interest at the full $60b, built up over 5-10 yrs. Method: linear $8b/yr drawdown (7.5-yr midpoint) at 5% (the midpoint of TOP's implied rate). Mid-year balances 4/12/20/28b give 0.2/0.6/1.0/1.4 = $3.2b over 4 yrs (range ~$2.6b for a 10-yr build to ~$4.3b for 5 yrs). Replaces TU's $12.0b, which assumes the full $60b is borrowed from day one.
SourceBreakthrough Economy spending: science, researchers, contestable funds, polytechs, incubators, overseas student-loan forgiveness, ComCom, FinCap+$2.66bPartymedium
TOP annual table: science 125, researchers 100, contestable 175, polytech 80+20, incubators 26.5, overseas loan forgiveness 95, ComCom 20, consumer advocacy 5, FinCap 20.
SourceTags: Capital one-off spending that adds to debt rather than the annual deficit; Aspirational stated as a goal without a firm commitment; In current plans partly funded in Treasury's PREFU 2026 forecasts already. Change the filters above to include or exclude these.